Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:01:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09f4…dac0
sports · 408 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$10,500 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,358 · open −$143
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,488
Realized−$10,358
Unrealized−$143
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses180 / 221
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$4,024
Open positions7
Markets (closed)401 / 408
History coverage75d
Avg bet$631
Trades / day32.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 401 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,495
7 days+$3,461
14 days+$5,034
30 days+$1,123
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 41¢ 40¢ $2,755 $2,654 −$101 (-4%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $792 $783 −$9 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 48¢ 50¢ $670 $691 +$21 (+3%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 44¢ $664 $605 −$59 (-9%)
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 Over 39¢ 40¢ $385 $390 +$5 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Under 29¢ 30¢ $203 $206 +$4 (+2%)
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 47¢ $163 $159 −$3 (-2%)
Spread: Rockets (-5.5) Rockets 46¢ 0¢ $508 $0 −$508 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $3,816 $0 −$3,816 (-100%)
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5) Puerto Rico 20¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 2.5 Under 33¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5) Racing Club de Lens 43¢ 0¢ $878 $0 −$878 (-100%)
Spread: Rockets (-4.5) Rockets 50¢ 0¢ $306 $0 −$306 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $499 $0 −$499 (-100%)
Spread: Lakers (-13.5) Jazz 50¢ 0¢ $610 $0 −$610 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $1,310 $0 −$1,310 (-100%)
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5 Under 41¢ 0¢ $273 $0 −$273 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $562 $0 −$562 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Cavaliers 49¢ 0¢ $1,156 $0 −$1,156 (-100%)
Spread: Nets (-3.5) Wizards 50¢ 0¢ $580 $0 −$580 (-100%)
Spread: Magic (-13.5) Magic 47¢ 0¢ $544 $0 −$544 (-100%)
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 Under 37¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $1,808 $0 −$1,808 (-100%)
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $838 $0 −$838 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1,579 +$2,470 +156%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $488 −$488 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $213 −$213 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5 Jun 12 $221 +$76 +35%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $810 +$1,197 +148%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $550 −$547 -100%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5 Jun 11 $215 −$67 -31%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 11 $228 +$247 +108%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5 Jun 10 $151 −$148 -99%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5) Jun 10 $28 −$28 -100%
Spread: Hungary (-1.5) Jun 09 $327 −$322 -99%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $589 −$589 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5 Jun 09 $74 −$74 -100%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $286 +$246 +86%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5 Jun 09 $207 −$204 -99%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 160.5 Jun 09 $286 +$219 +76%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 09 $830 +$899 +108%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) Jun 09 $214 −$214 -100%
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Jun 09 $432 −$424 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 Jun 08 $652 −$652 -100%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 161.5 Jun 08 $206 −$203 -98%
Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5) Jun 08 $190 −$188 -98%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5) Jun 08 $156 −$156 -100%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $162 +$121 +75%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $199 +$151 +76%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $13 −$13 -98%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5) Jun 07 $253 −$249 -99%
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-2.5) Jun 07 $232 −$229 -99%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 174.5 Jun 07 $149 −$147 -99%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5 Jun 07 $136 −$134 -98%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5 Jun 07 $88 −$88 -100%
Spread: Cyprus (-1.5) Jun 07 $334 −$334 -100%
Spread: Curaçao (-2.5) Jun 07 $5 +$6 +109%
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) Jun 07 $487 −$417 -86%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5) Jun 07 $123 +$115 +93%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $292 +$256 +88%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5 Jun 07 $137 +$154 +113%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5) Jun 07 $485 −$8 -2%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $301 +$229 +76%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 07 $3,892 +$3,546 +91%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 06 $143 −$141 -98%
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) Jun 06 $354 −$194 -55%
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $67 −$66 -99%
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5) Jun 06 $54 −$54 -100%
Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $387 +$97 +25%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $286 +$10 +4%
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $22 +$24 +105%
Angola vs. Mauritania: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $111 +$9 +8%
Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $17 +$27 +156%
Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-2.5) Jun 05 $19 +$24 +128%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$10,500
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 45¢ $197 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 29¢ $102 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 29¢ $102 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $792 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $282 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $7 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $41 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $9 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $2 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $17 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $3 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $3 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $10 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $10 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $10 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $7 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $137 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $7 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $97 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $14 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $31 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $519 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $21 3h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 47¢ $6 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $14 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $4 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $6 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $125 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $689 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $689 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -25.6% -32.7% 36% 36% +9.4%
≤30d 173 +17.0% +5.9% 45% 44% -8.4%
≤90d 401 +2.9% -6.9% 45% 44% -13.3%
all 401 +2.9% -6.9% 45% 44% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 44% -13.3%
10% -15.8% 44% -21.6%
15% ← realistic here -24.0% 44% -29.2%
20% -31.4% 44% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,488.24 · official $5,488.24 (match) · 2734 history records