Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09f4…2e28
crypto · 1910 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$206 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$206 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$206
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses1478 / 447
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1925 / 1910
History coverage17d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day120.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1925 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$91
14 days−$166
30 days−$206
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$16 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$141
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 218 -21.8% -29.2% 49% 44% -32.2%
≤30d 1925 -4.4% -13.5% 77% 73% -15.2%
≤90d 1925 -4.4% -13.5% 77% 73% -15.2%
all 1925 -4.4% -13.5% 77% 73% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover120.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 73% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 21% -23.3%
15% -29.4% 9% -30.7%
20% -36.3% 6% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records