Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:02:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09f1…f15d
crypto · 506 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$340 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$107 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$107
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses447 / 59
Open positions0
Markets (closed)506 / 506
History coverage59d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 506 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days+$4
14 days−$26
30 days−$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$107
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $13 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $12 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $12 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $12 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $7 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 +2.1% -7.6% 89% 68% -9.4%
≤30d 506 -0.6% -10.1% 88% 63% -11.2%
≤90d 506 -0.6% -10.1% 88% 63% -11.2%
all 506 -0.6% -10.1% 88% 63% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 63% -11.2%
10% -18.7% 2% -19.7%
15% -26.5% 1% -27.5%
20% -33.7% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records