Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:23:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09ee…90a4
sports · 647 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$28,584 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30,363 · open +$1,720
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,907
Realized−$30,363
Unrealized+$1,720
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses323 / 484
Whale WR (big bets)39%
Est. fees paid−$1,239
Open positions35
Markets (closed)807 / 647
History coverage24d
Avg bet$151
Trades / day127.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 35 History 807 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36,104
7 days−$32,594
14 days−$31,552
30 days−$30,363
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 38¢ 100¢ $1,005 $2,625 +$1,620 (+161%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 38¢ 100¢ $658 $1,730 +$1,072 (+163%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 69¢ 69¢ $975 $984 +$9 (+1%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 69¢ 99¢ $305 $434 +$129 (+42%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $304 $303 −$1 (-0%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Over 52¢ 50¢ $300 $291 −$9 (-3%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Over 67¢ 68¢ $237 $242 +$5 (+2%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Over 59¢ 57¢ $201 $196 −$5 (-2%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 48¢ 46¢ $183 $178 −$6 (-3%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 57¢ 52¢ $180 $163 −$17 (-10%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 54¢ 100¢ $83 $152 +$70 (+85%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Under 54¢ 29¢ $248 $132 −$116 (-47%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit 78¢ 78¢ $121 $122 +$1 (+1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 42¢ $116 $118 +$1 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 82¢ $113 $112 −$1 (-1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Over 55¢ 61¢ $100 $111 +$11 (+11%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 66¢ 100¢ $67 $101 +$34 (+51%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $94 $95 +$1 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 43¢ 42¢ $98 $94 −$4 (-5%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Under 49¢ 50¢ $87 $88 +$1 (+1%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Golden State Valkyries 80¢ 80¢ $85 $85 +$1 (+1%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 34¢ 34¢ $86 $85 −$1 (-1%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Under 50¢ 50¢ $74 $75 +$1 (+1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 33¢ 34¢ $74 $75 +$1 (+2%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 60¢ 60¢ $70 $70 −$1 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 13 $1,021 −$1,021 -100%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03? Jun 13 $129 −$129 -100%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 Jun 13 $321 −$321 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $247 −$247 -100%
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-03? Jun 13 $305 −$305 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13? Jun 13 $117 −$117 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 13 $1,200 −$1,200 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5) Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $400 −$400 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Preli Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $153 −$153 -100%
Knicks vs. 76ers Jun 13 $343 −$343 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Hawks Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 13 $132 −$132 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Jun 13 $352 −$352 -100%
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $154 −$154 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5 Jun 13 $250 −$250 -100%
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1,055 −$1,055 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs Jun 13 $365 −$365 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins Jun 13 $109 −$109 -100%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 13 $256 −$256 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Jun 13 $199 −$199 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $121 −$121 -100%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1,014 −$1,014 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $131 −$131 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Jun 13 $143 −$143 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$5,833
other 15% +$2,354
world 0% +$10
crypto 0% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 69¢ $8 8m
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 69¢ $17 12m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 67¢ $27 16m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 67¢ $33 16m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 67¢ $10 17m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 67¢ $34 17m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 67¢ $135 17m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Over 52¢ $105 17m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Over 52¢ $93 17m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Over 52¢ $105 17m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 50¢ $6 20m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 59¢ $119 20m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 59¢ $63 20m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 34¢ $19 20m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 34¢ $69 20m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 28¢ $5 20m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 49¢ $77 23m
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 80¢ $85 24m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 50¢ $25 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 49¢ $8 26m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 49¢ $2 26m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 58¢ $3 27m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 58¢ $17 29m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 50¢ $37 43m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 55¢ $101 48m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 50¢ $6 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 25¢ $25 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $126 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 25¢ $2 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 25¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-29.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 391 -47.3% -52.3% 28% 26% -52.6%
≤30d 807 -22.2% -29.6% 40% 37% -31.3%
≤90d 807 -22.2% -29.6% 40% 37% -31.3%
all 807 -22.2% -29.6% 40% 37% -31.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover127.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.6% 37% -31.3%
10% ← realistic here -36.3% 36% -37.9%
15% -42.5% 35% -43.9%
20% -48.1% 32% -49.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,907.41 · official $8,907.55 (match) · 3500 history records