Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T20:50:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
09 0x09eb…873d crypto 30 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$99 (+4%) realized +$99 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate100%30W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$83per market
Trades / day17.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +5.4% -4.6% 100% 3% -5.5%
≤30d 30 +5.4% -4.6% 100% 3% -5.5%
≤90d 30 +5.4% -4.6% 100% 3% -5.5%
all 30 +5.4% -4.6% 100% 3% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.6% 3% -5.5%
10% -13.7% 0% -14.5%
15% -22.1% 0% -22.8%
20% -29.7% 0% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late +7% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$99
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses30 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage3d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day17.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 30 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 22 $115 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 22 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $64 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $111 +$12 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $44 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 22 $92 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 22 $31 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 22 $35 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 22 $51 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 22 $17 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 22 $28 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 22 $58 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 22 $17 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 22 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 22 $44 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 22 $56 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 22 $54 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 22 $108 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 21 $170 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 21 $123 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 21 $166 +$10 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 21 $182 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 20 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $41 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 20 $96 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 20 $163 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 20 $177 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 20 $176 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 20 $152 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $40 +$3 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $115 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $64 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $57 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $45 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $44 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $43 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $31 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $35 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $51 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $17 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $28 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $58 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $17 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $108 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $54 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $56 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $44 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $170 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $97 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $26 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $166 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $182 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $41 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 77 history records