Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T03:21:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
09 0x09e7…91d3 crypto 100 markets active 2h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$131 (+11%) realized +$131 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -8% what you keep after slip
Net edge-8%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate38%38W / 62L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day60.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 +18.8% +7.5% 38% 38% -9.1%
≤30d 100 +18.8% +7.5% 38% 38% -9.1%
≤90d 100 +18.8% +7.5% 38% 38% -9.1%
all 100 +18.8% +7.5% 38% 38% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.5% 38% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -2.8% 38% -17.8%
15% -12.2% 34% -25.7%
20% -20.8% 31% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +19% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +23% → late +14% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$9 · ×1.64 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$131
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses38 / 62
Open positions0
Markets (closed)100 / 100
History coverage3d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day60.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 100 Trades
no open positions (70 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 27 $21 +$30 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 27 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 27 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 27 $19 −$18 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 26 $24 +$22 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 26 $19 −$18 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 26 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 26 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$76 +792%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 26 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 26 $14 +$7 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $14 +$9 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 26 $16 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 26 $14 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 26 $11 +$14 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 26 $18 +$22 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 26 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10PM ET Jun 26 $7 −$7 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 26 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 26 $22 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 26 $16 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 25 $23 +$19 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 25 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 25 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 25 $11 +$17 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 25 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $34 −$17 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 25 $25 −$9 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $39 +$53 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 25 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 25 $27 +$21 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 25 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 25 $18 +$19 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 25 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $16 −$15 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $43 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $19 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $19 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $16 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $22 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $16 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $86 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $16 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $21 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $14 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $23 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $14 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $20 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $16 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 195 history records