Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:09:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09e4…cd46
sports · 5 markets active 2h ago
6.0score
+$50 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$53 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$142
Realized+$53
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 4 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$53
7 days+$53
14 days+$53
30 days+$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 56¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-5%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 54¢ 50¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$53 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 51% +$53
sports 49% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $25 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 54¢ $20 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $51 3h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $50 32h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $51 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+85.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +105.1% +85.6% 100% 100% +85.6%
≤30d 1 +105.1% +85.6% 100% 100% +85.6%
≤90d 1 +105.1% +85.6% 100% 100% +85.6%
all 1 +105.1% +85.6% 100% 100% +85.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +85.6% 100% +85.6%
10% +67.8% 100% +67.8%
15% +51.6% 100% +51.6%
20% +36.8% 100% +36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $141.94 · official $141.95 (match) · 6 history records