Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:38:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09dd…542f
crypto · 530 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,638 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,809 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,809
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses388 / 142
Open positions0
Markets (closed)530 / 530
History coverage124d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 530 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$17
14 days−$195
30 days−$195
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$2 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$21 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$7 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $72 −$31 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$20 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$10 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$5 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $92 −$92 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $86 +$20 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$9 +75%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$6 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $63 +$24 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$5 +38%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 14 $10 −$3 -29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $58 −$28 -49%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 14 $5 −$4 -67%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 14 $6 −$5 -84%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$16 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $116 +$5 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $39 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $94 +$33 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $118 +$11 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $36 −$7 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $27 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 14 $114 +$15 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 13 $7 +$2 +24%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$10 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$12 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$9 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$676
weather 9% −$929
finance 2% −$88
other 1% −$92
politics 0% −$23
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 14m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $16 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $19 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $36 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -8.8% -17.5% 60% 42% -10.2%
≤30d 67 -10.0% -18.6% 60% 42% -16.2%
≤90d 507 -8.4% -17.1% 72% 9% -21.2%
all 530 -8.4% -17.1% 73% 8% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.1% 8% -21.0%
10% -25.1% 6% -28.5%
15% -32.3% 4% -35.4%
20% -38.9% 3% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1635 history records