trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 73% | 40% | -4.6% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 73% | 40% | -4.6% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 73% | 40% | -4.6% |
| all | 15 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 73% | 40% | -4.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.2% | 40% | -4.6% |
| 10% | -23.3% | 27% | -13.7% |
| 15% | -30.7% | 20% | -22.1% |
| 20% | -37.5% | 7% | -29.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | $200 | $213 | +$13 (+6%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 68¢ | 66¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $148 | +$37 | +25% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $229 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $119 | +$12 | +10% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $113 | +$6 | +5% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $6 | +$1 | +20% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $24 | −$18 | -77% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $13 | −$10 | -77% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $3 | +$1 | +44% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $7 | +$4 | +59% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | -46% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +46% |