trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 59% | 6% | -8.3% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 68% | 20% | -6.8% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 68% | 20% | -6.8% |
| all | 25 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 68% | 20% | -6.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.9% | 20% | -6.8% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 12% | -15.7% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 8% | -23.9% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 4% | -31.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $1,420 | $1,499 | +$79 (+6%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $485 | $482 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 91¢ | 93¢ | $273 | $280 | +$7 (+3%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $250 | $255 | +$5 (+2%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $250 | $203 | −$47 (-19%) |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 92¢ | $200 | $194 | −$5 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $1,001 | +$43 | +4% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $3,647 | +$167 | +5% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $3,178 | +$457 | +14% |
| Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switz | Jun 16 | $3,884 | +$324 | +8% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,004 | +$25 | +2% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $501 | −$500 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $472 | +$28 | +6% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $983 | +$22 | +2% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? | Jun 14 | $350 | −$347 | -99% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $250 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $250 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $250 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $250 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $250 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $250 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $181 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $172 | +$11 | +6% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $153 | +$17 | +11% |
| Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? | Jun 08 | $205 | +$8 | +4% |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 06 | $22 | +$8 | +35% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 31 | $415 | +$247 | +60% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $456 | −$44 | -10% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | May 30 | $322 | +$15 | +5% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | May 28 | $200 | +$15 | +7% |
| Will Lens win Coupe de France? | May 23 | $252 | +$68 | +27% |