Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09b7…d0e2
crypto · 760 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses727 / 32
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions1
Markets (closed)759 / 760
History coverage18d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day153.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 759 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$595
7 days−$741
14 days−$14
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 91¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $57 +$43 +75%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $98 +$2 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $81 +$19 +23%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $95 +$5 +5%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $227 +$3 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $71 +$9 +12%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $76 +$9 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $193 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $93 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$27 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $82 +$18 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $171 +$29 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $157 +$42 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $123 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $94 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $190 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $185 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $80 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $94 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $191 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $170 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $190 +$10 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $86 +$13 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $123 −$45 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $97 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $180 +$20 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $179 +$17 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$36 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $88 +$32 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $179 +$21 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$16 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $116 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $117 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $75 +$25 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $192 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $55 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $58 +$30 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $32 +$8 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $85 +$10 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% +$436
sports 9% −$663
world 1% +$260
other 0% +$3
weather 0% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 91¢ $9 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 99¢ $227 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 95¢ $95 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 81¢ $81 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $98 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $84 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 93¢ $47 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 85¢ $26 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 81¢ $4 2h
Canada leading at halftime? BUY No 98¢ $98 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $93 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 86¢ $43 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 94¢ $28 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $57 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $73 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 318 -2.3% -11.6% 90% 20% -15.0%
≤30d 759 +0.8% -8.8% 96% 11% -9.6%
≤90d 759 +0.8% -8.8% 96% 11% -9.6%
all 759 +0.8% -8.8% 96% 11% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover153.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 11% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 4% -18.2%
15% -25.5% 3% -26.1%
20% -32.8% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.99 · official $9.99 (match) · 3500 history records