Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09b7…eca8
crypto · 803 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,082 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,818 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$1,818
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses517 / 285
Open positions1
Markets (closed)802 / 803
History coverage216d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day8.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 802 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$482
7 days−$583
14 days−$664
30 days−$817
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 67¢ 66¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $64 −$30 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $64 −$35 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$9 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$31 +148%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$11 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $64 +$32 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +194%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $80 −$34 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$9 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $73 −$57 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$10 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$8 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$9 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$12 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$39 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$8 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$10 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$12 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$17 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$16 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$16 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$9 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$20 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$11 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$17 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$27 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$20 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$14 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$1,513
tech 2% −$63
world 1% −$66
politics 1% −$176
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $20 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $21 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $18 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $7 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $7 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $21 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $21 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $8 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $21 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $16 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $17 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $12 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $18 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -12.2% -20.6% 45% 45% -29.5%
≤30d 502 -0.4% -9.9% 64% 60% -15.6%
≤90d 726 -0.6% -10.0% 63% 59% -16.6%
all 802 -0.9% -10.3% 64% 53% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 53% -15.9%
10% -18.9% 41% -23.9%
15% -26.7% 25% -31.3%
20% -33.9% 14% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.55 · official $19.55 (match) · 2511 history records