Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09b5…7e72
sports · 178 markets active 11h ago
0.0score
−$49,370 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50,352 · open +$883
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46,882
Realized−$50,352
Unrealized+$883
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses115 / 61
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$15,660
Open positions2
Markets (closed)176 / 178
History coverage45d
Avg bet$6,465
Trades / day15.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 2 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43,377
7 days−$33,432
14 days−$29,786
30 days−$73,861
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 49¢ 50¢ $45,357 $46,283 +$926 (+2%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? Yes 67¢ 62¢ $642 $599 −$43 (-7%)
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card) Melquizael Costa 46¢ 0¢ $1,394 $0 −$1,394 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $37,659 $0 −$37,659 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) 76ers 54¢ 0¢ $540 $0 −$540 (-100%)
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship? No 45¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Texas Rangers 57¢ 0¢ $25,624 $0 −$25,624 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Timberwolves 43¢ 0¢ $466 $0 −$466 (-100%)
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) Tatsuro Taira 58¢ 0¢ $872 $0 −$872 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $11,843 $0 −$11,843 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $33,009 $0 −$33,009 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $53,421 $0 −$53,421 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-4.5) Magic 52¢ 0¢ $1,575 $0 −$1,575 (-100%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Kansas City Royals 47¢ 0¢ $4,105 $0 −$4,105 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Pittsburgh Pirates 49¢ 0¢ $15,224 $0 −$15,224 (-100%)
Will Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship? No 35¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $33,655 $0 −$33,655 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 68¢ 0¢ $54,231 $0 −$54,231 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Cavaliers 63¢ 0¢ $3,809 $0 −$3,809 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Milwaukee Brewers 54¢ 0¢ $605 $0 −$605 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $2,758 $0 −$2,758 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $25,003 $0 −$25,003 (-100%)
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Pittsburgh Pirates 59¢ 0¢ $8,297 $0 −$8,297 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Nuggets 69¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Under 57¢ 0¢ $13,823 $0 −$13,823 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $54,102 +$41,250 +76%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 11 $15,457 −$15,224 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $21,378 +$18,190 +85%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $4,992 +$4,654 +93%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $54,223 −$53,421 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $14,001 −$13,823 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $25,386 −$25,003 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $11,368 +$11,241 +99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $8,607 +$8,030 +93%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $10 +$10 +93%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $34,160 −$33,655 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 08 $6,316 −$6,235 -99%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 07 $30,250 +$30,554 +101%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5 May 30 $8,400 +$6,405 +76%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 May 29 $2,799 −$2,758 -99%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $15 +$10 +65%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 May 28 $20,500 −$20,191 -98%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 May 28 $36,581 −$36,041 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 May 28 $12,702 +$10,500 +83%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers May 28 $25,954 −$25,624 -99%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 May 27 $15,996 +$11,584 +72%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres May 27 $20,657 +$15,750 +76%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 May 27 $10,750 −$10,579 -98%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) May 26 $4,171 −$4,105 -98%
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights May 26 $35,662 −$35,145 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 May 26 $38,190 −$37,659 -99%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) May 25 $45,770 −$45,121 -99%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers May 25 $58,400 +$27,910 +48%
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byro May 25 $1,933 +$1,010 +52%
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byr May 25 $1,160 +$318 +27%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) May 25 $5,294 +$3,570 +67%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 May 24 $19,991 +$21,017 +105%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) May 24 $613 −$605 -99%
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 May 24 $33,445 −$33,009 -99%
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles May 24 $3,213 −$3,161 -98%
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 May 24 $29,632 +$25,500 +86%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 May 23 $1,040 +$970 +93%
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 May 23 $35,499 +$35,857 +101%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees May 22 $7,854 −$7,754 -99%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) May 22 $8,399 −$8,297 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 May 22 $1,066 −$1,050 -99%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 22 $34,499 +$62,185 +180%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 21 $45,880 +$20,000 +44%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 18 $54,752 −$54,231 -99%
Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 18 $1 $0 +6%
Will Kota Yuta Kaneko finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship May 18 $7 $0 +1%
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 18 $2 +$1 +43%
Will Pádraig Harrington finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Champions May 18 $8 $0 +1%
Will Martin Kaymer finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship? May 18 $23 $0 +1%
Will Pádraig Harrington finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championsh May 18 $29 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$50,571
other 1% +$1,102
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $14 10h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $8 10h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $3,780 10h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $20 10h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $40 10h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $290 11h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $51 11h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $25 12h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $6 12h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $2 12h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $10 13h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $8 13h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $93 13h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $492 13h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $49 13h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $49 13h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? BUY Yes 67¢ $31 14h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? BUY Yes 67¢ $32 14h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? BUY Yes 67¢ $15 16h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 49¢ $15,457 16h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 49¢ $10,225 16h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? BUY Yes 67¢ $67 16h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? BUY Yes 67¢ $13 16h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? BUY Yes 67¢ $11 16h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? BUY Yes 67¢ $20 16h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? BUY Yes 67¢ $7 17h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 49¢ $40,749 17h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? BUY Yes 67¢ $9 18h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? BUY Yes 67¢ $23 18h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? BUY Yes 67¢ $23 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +3.2% -6.7% 54% 54% -20.4%
≤30d 108 -2.3% -11.6% 76% 28% -16.3%
≤90d 176 -1.2% -10.6% 65% 35% -13.7%
all 176 -1.2% -10.6% 65% 35% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.5 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 35% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 33% -22.0%
15% -27.0% 30% -29.5%
20% -34.1% 27% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46,882.14 · official $46,882.14 (match) · 852 history records