trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 29% | 29% | -32.9% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +2.5% | -7.3% | 35% | 35% | -5.8% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 38% | 38% | -8.5% |
| all | 44 | -26.0% | -33.0% | 34% | 32% | -11.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.0% | 32% | -11.6% |
| 10% | -39.4% | 32% | -20.1% |
| 15% | -45.3% | 25% | -27.8% |
| 20% | -50.7% | 20% | -34.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $601 | $638 | +$37 (+6%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $500 | $539 | +$39 (+8%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $481 | $427 | −$55 (-11%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $388 | $414 | +$25 (+7%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Switzerland | 36¢ | 36¢ | $200 | $203 | +$3 (+1%) |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Over | 44¢ | 44¢ | $200 | $198 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Mexico | 23¢ | 22¢ | $200 | $196 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | United States | 35¢ | 34¢ | $126 | $124 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $95 | $94 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $30 | $6 | −$24 (-79%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $102 | +$332 | +325% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$48 | +48% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 | Jun 16 | $46 | +$109 | +238% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $307 | −$16 | -5% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $90 | +$224 | +250% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5 | Jun 15 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 15 | $51 | −$47 | -92% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$95 | +93% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Jun 13 | $502 | −$494 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 10 | $87 | −$85 | -98% |
| Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 10 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $88 | +$101 | +114% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $503 | +$589 | +117% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 31 | $100 | −$37 | -37% |
| Pacers vs. Spurs | Mar 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 21 | $66 | −$66 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves | Mar 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets | Mar 21 | $10 | +$3 | +33% |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | Mar 21 | $10 | +$5 | +55% |
| Lakers vs. Heat | Mar 20 | $10 | +$9 | +89% |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls | Mar 20 | $30 | +$8 | +27% |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Mar 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Jazz | Mar 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Kings | Mar 19 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers | Mar 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Mar 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | Mar 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Pelicans | Mar 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Nuggets | Mar 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Mar 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Hawks | Mar 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Mar 17 | $10 | +$3 | +32% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Mar 17 | $10 | +$12 | +122% |
| Grizzlies vs. Bulls | Mar 17 | $10 | +$4 | +45% |
| Suns vs. Celtics | Mar 17 | $23 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |