trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 7 | -12.1% | -20.5% | 86% | 0% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.5% | 0% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -28.1% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -35.0% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -41.4% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $403 | $504 | +$101 (+25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $2,599 | +$2 | +0% |
| US military action against Iran by Sunday? | Jun 21 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Jun 18 | $31 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday? | Jun 14 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 30 | $29 | +$2 | +5% |
| Ethereum above $2,500 on May 27? | May 26 | $27 | +$2 | +7% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%? | May 18 | $27 | $0 | +2% |