Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T01:39:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
09 0x09a9…5b9b sports 3 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$2 (-16%) realized −$1 · open −$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 1L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day15.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit67%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 92% −$2
other 8% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -9.7% -18.3% 0% 0% -18.3%
≤30d 1 -9.7% -18.3% 0% 0% -18.3%
≤90d 1 -9.7% -18.3% 0% 0% -18.3%
all 1 -9.7% -18.3% 0% 0% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.3%
10% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
15% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
20% -39.8% 0% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
4.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$1 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals Kansas City Royals 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 17 $11 −$1 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves SELL San Francisco Giants 44¢ $1 41m
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves BUY San Francisco Giants 45¢ $1 44m
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves SELL San Francisco Giants 44¢ $9 46m
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves BUY San Francisco Giants 45¢ $1 48m
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves BUY San Francisco Giants 45¢ $1 49m
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves BUY San Francisco Giants 46¢ $1 49m
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves BUY San Francisco Giants 49¢ $1 51m
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves BUY San Francisco Giants 49¢ $1 52m
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves BUY San Francisco Giants 49¢ $1 53m
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves BUY San Francisco Giants 49¢ $1 54m
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves BUY San Francisco Giants 48¢ $1 55m
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves BUY San Francisco Giants 47¢ $1 56m
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves BUY San Francisco Giants 47¢ $1 57m
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals BUY Kansas City Royals 46¢ $1 59m
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Wi BUY 13¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $1.00 · 15 history records