Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:17:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09a7…8213
sports · 217 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$28 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$119
Realized+$3
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses91 / 111
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions15
Markets (closed)202 / 217
History coverage39d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day33.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 15 History 202 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$19
14 days−$49
30 days+$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Under 45¢ 46¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 67¢ 80¢ $21 $25 +$4 (+18%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 6¢ $9 $13 +$5 (+55%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-7%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-15%)
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $9 $6 −$3 (-34%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 59¢ 20¢ $15 $5 −$10 (-65%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-17%)
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-25%)
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+75%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? No 89¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+12%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 39¢ 21¢ $3 $2 −$2 (-47%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-25%)
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-75%)
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-6%)
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 7? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $9 +$28 +305%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $8 +$3 +33%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $10 −$4 -37%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $10 +$8 +81%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $8 −$8 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $10 −$4 -36%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 04 $3 +$4 +129%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 04 $9 −$9 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 04 $3 +$4 +117%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 03 $12 +$17 +140%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 03 $2 $0 +8%
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland Jun 01 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 01 $4 −$2 -44%
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? Jun 01 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 31 $10 +$9 +86%
Spread: Thunder (-11.5) May 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-3.5) May 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) May 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 30 $6 +$9 +146%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets May 30 $10 +$8 +83%
World Championships: Canada vs. Finland May 30 $63 −$63 -100%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $35 +$6 +16%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $10 +$8 +79%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 30 $10 +$2 +23%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) May 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $10 +$4 +42%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $51 −$2 -4%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 30 $6 $0 +6%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? May 30 $2 $0 +12%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 30 $50 +$22 +44%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) May 29 $8 +$10 +124%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) May 29 $10 +$27 +262%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) May 29 $10 +$18 +180%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox May 28 $10 +$8 +79%
World Championships: Canada vs. USA May 28 $18 +$5 +27%
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? May 28 $24 −$24 -98%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $10 +$3 +31%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5 May 28 $12 +$8 +65%
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets May 28 $10 +$9 +86%
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals May 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% +$135
crypto 29% −$39
other 15% −$96
weather 1% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 22m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 23m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 28m
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 42m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 4h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 4h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 6h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 6h
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? SELL Yes 21¢ $0 6h
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? SELL Yes 21¢ $0 6h
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? SELL Yes 21¢ $0 6h
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? SELL Yes 21¢ $0 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +18.0% +6.8% 50% 50% +21.0%
≤30d 149 +5.8% -4.3% 52% 37% -6.9%
≤90d 202 +0.1% -9.5% 45% 31% -9.4%
all 202 +0.1% -9.5% 45% 31% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 31% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 28% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 24% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 21% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $118.82 · official $118.82 (match) · 1426 history records