Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T12:49:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
09 0x0999…b4e2 crypto 385 markets active 1h ago coverage 45d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 44d only
✗ bot/MM pace (77 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$15,640 (-74%) realized −$15,640 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -50% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -62% what you keep after slip
Net edge-62%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate26%151W / 428L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$55per market
Trades / day77.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,329
7 days−$12,329
14 days−$12,473
30 days−$13,346
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$4,858
other 0% +$192
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (77 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-54.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 213 -95.0% -95.5% 2% 2% -97.5%
≤30d 281 -80.2% -82.1% 13% 12% -83.1%
≤90d 579 -50.0% -54.8% 26% 22% -58.9%
all 579 -50.0% -54.8% 26% 22% -58.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover77.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -54.8% 22% -58.9%
10% ← realistic here -59.1% 14% -62.8%
15% -63.1% 9% -66.4%
20% -66.7% 7% -69.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -56% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -50% · $-wt -56% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -21% → late -79% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$46 · ×0.42 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.15 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$15,640
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses151 / 428
Open positions0
Markets (closed)579 / 385
History coverage45d ⚠
Avg bet$55
Trades / day77.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 579 Trades
no open positions (358 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 25 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 25 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET Jun 25 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 25 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 25 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 25 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 25 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 25 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET Jun 25 $139 −$139 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 25 $215 −$215 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1PM ET Jun 25 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET Jun 25 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 25 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 25 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 25 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 25 $242 −$242 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 25 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5AM ET Jun 25 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 25 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 25 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6AM ET Jun 25 $194 −$194 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET Jun 25 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 25 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 25 $173 −$173 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 25 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 25 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET Jun 25 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 25 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 25 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 25 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET Jun 25 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6AM ET Jun 25 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 25 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5PM ET Jun 25 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET Jun 25 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET Jun 25 $132 −$131 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 25 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 25 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 25 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 25 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 25 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 25 $137 −$137 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $40 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records