trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 29 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 41% | 38% | +18.5% |
| ≤30d | 29 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 41% | 38% | +18.5% |
| ≤90d | 29 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 41% | 38% | +18.5% |
| all | 29 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 41% | 38% | +18.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.2% | 38% | +18.5% |
| 10% | -9.8% | 38% | +7.2% |
| 15% | -18.5% | 34% | -3.2% |
| 20% | -26.5% | 31% | -12.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 71¢ | 84¢ | $50 | $60 | +$10 (+19%) |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $6 | −$4 (-42%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $78 | +$42 | +54% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$10 | -51% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$12 | +24% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $50 | +$24 | +48% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $61 | +$69 | +113% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$52 | -51% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $31 | +$94 | +307% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $41 | +$97 | +238% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $55 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $41 | +$181 | +442% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +67% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $34 | +$99 | +291% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $34 | −$33 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $16 | +$40 | +250% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $34 | −$33 | -99% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $16 | −$16 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $16 | −$16 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $46 | +$73 | +158% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |