Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:17:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x0995…a4af
other · 7 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$20 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 6 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-3%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $4 $0 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $15 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $17 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $9 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $19 6h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $4 6h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 6h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -12.0% -20.4% 0% 0% -20.4%
≤30d 1 -12.0% -20.4% 0% 0% -20.4%
≤90d 1 -12.0% -20.4% 0% 0% -20.4%
all 1 -12.0% -20.4% 0% 0% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.4% 0% -20.4%
10% -28.0% 0% -28.0%
15% -35.0% 0% -35.0%
20% -41.4% 0% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.14 · official $58.14 (match) · 10 history records