Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T20:36:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
09 0x098e…310d crypto 1210 markets active 1h ago coverage 95d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 95d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$657 (-1%) realized −$657 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate97%1174W / 36L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$45per market
Trades / day20.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$9
14 days−$51
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$107
world 0% −$130
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +1.1% -8.5% 100% 0% -8.5%
≤30d 214 +0.4% -9.2% 99% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 1024 -0.1% -9.7% 98% 0% -9.6%
all 1210 +0.2% -9.4% 97% 3% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 3% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 1% -18.2%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$13 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

95d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$657
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1174 / 36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1210 / 1210
History coverage95d ⚠
Avg bet$45
Trades / day20.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1210 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $21 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $21 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $21 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $32 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $32 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $32 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $32 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $31 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $28 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $28 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $28 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $28 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $11 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $28 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $28 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 09 $28 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $17 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $28 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $27 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $27 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 09 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 09 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 09 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 09 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 09 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 08 $26 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $26 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $26 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 08 $26 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 08 $25 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $22 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $22 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $21 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $21 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $21 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $11 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $21 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $11 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $21 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $11 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $21 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $11 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $21 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $20 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $11 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $11 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records