Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:53:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x097b…6554
crypto · 187 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$27 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses91 / 92
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions4
Markets (closed)183 / 187
History coverage109d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day30.1
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 183 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$10
14 days−$15
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 33¢ 100¢ $2 $7 +$4 (+203%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 28¢ 27¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 30¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 69¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+45%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 77¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+30%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -75%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $5 +$3 +63%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 +$5 +103%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -86%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$1 -33%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 -11%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $3 +$1 +24%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 $0 -12%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$1 -27%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$1 -32%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $5 −$4 -95%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$2 +55%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $4 $0 -8%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 10 $3 −$2 -56%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $4 +$1 +18%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $3 +$1 +25%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $3 −$3 -96%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$2 -20%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs BALU - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $4 +$1 +18%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs BALU - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 $0 +6%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$25 +545%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $6 $0 -8%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $6 $0 -6%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $7 +$5 +79%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $2 $0 +18%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $7 +$3 +38%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $5 +$13 +286%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $8 +$5 +69%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $1 $0 +11%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $1 $0 +11%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $1 $0 +16%
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Two Move - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% +$21
sports 8% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 30¢ $1 32m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 28¢ $1 41m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 28¢ $1 41m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 28¢ $1 41m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 28¢ $1 41m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 11¢ $0 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 17¢ $0 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 17¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 32¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 34¢ $1 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 21¢ $0 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 77¢ $0 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 81¢ $0 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 26¢ $1 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 27¢ $1 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 26¢ $0 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 28¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 4¢ $0 2h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 15¢ $1 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $0 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $0 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +5.3% -4.7% 44% 35% -1.8%
≤30d 70 +4.2% -5.7% 50% 41% -9.6%
≤90d 70 +4.2% -5.7% 50% 41% -9.6%
all 183 +4.6% -5.4% 50% 43% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.4% 43% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -14.4% 34% -17.6%
15% -22.7% 27% -25.5%
20% -30.3% 21% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.63 · official $11.93 (match) · 3500 history records