Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:22:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x0968…0165
crypto · 1624 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$171 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$106 · open −$59
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$386
Realized−$106
Unrealized−$59
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1596 / 30
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1626 / 1624
History coverage6d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day326.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 4 History 1626 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$106
14 days−$106
30 days−$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 33¢ 32¢ $165 $162 −$2 (-2%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 64¢ 62¢ $122 $118 −$5 (-4%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 82¢ 82¢ $83 $83 −$0 (-0%)
Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 20¢ $72 $20 −$52 (-72%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $47 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $36 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $38 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $24 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $24 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $24 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $201 −$1 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $260 −$9 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $23 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$61
other 10% −$86
sports 4% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 22m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $47 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 32m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 82¢ $83 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 57m
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 64¢ $122 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 82¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1626 -0.7% -10.1% 98% 0% -9.9%
≤30d 1626 -0.7% -10.1% 98% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 1626 -0.7% -10.1% 98% 0% -9.9%
all 1626 -0.7% -10.1% 98% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover326.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 0% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $386.40 · official $383.10 (match) · 3500 history records