Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:59:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x0964…198d
crypto · 1004 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$297 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$296 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$296
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses595 / 408
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1003 / 1004
Avg bet$5
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1003 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$127
7 days−$81
14 days−$69
30 days−$296
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 13¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-81%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$7 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$3 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$5 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$18 +756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$85
economics 4% −$204
finance 1% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $17 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $8 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $15 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $12 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 713 -0.2% -9.7% 58% 58% -11.9%
≤30d 1002 +1.0% -8.6% 59% 59% -15.4%
≤90d 1002 +1.0% -8.6% 59% 59% -15.4%
all 1003 +1.0% -8.6% 59% 59% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.6% 59% -15.3%
10% -17.3% 56% -23.4%
15% -25.3% 50% -30.8%
20% -32.7% 40% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.23 · official $1.24 · 1614 history records