trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | -19.2% | -26.9% | 36% | 36% | -15.9% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -19.2% | -26.9% | 36% | 36% | -15.9% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -19.2% | -26.9% | 36% | 36% | -15.9% |
| all | 22 | -19.2% | -26.9% | 36% | 36% | -15.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.9% | 36% | -15.9% |
| 10% | -33.9% | 36% | -24.0% |
| 15% | -40.2% | 36% | -31.3% |
| 20% | -46.1% | 27% | -38.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | No | 59¢ | 58¢ | $60 | $59 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | No | 44¢ | 44¢ | $45 | $44 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $18 | $18 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $17 | $17 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $14 | $14 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $11 | $10 | −$2 (-14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $32 | −$1 | -4% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $143 | −$45 | -32% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $62 | +$40 | +65% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $61 | +$82 | +134% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $23 | −$22 | -98% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $38 | −$38 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $58 | −$57 | -99% |
| Spread: Sweden (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $28 | +$74 | +262% |
| Spread: Tunisia (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $54 | +$46 | +86% |
| Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $56 | −$55 | -99% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $16 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $97 | +$43 | +44% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $79 | −$78 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $51 | +$55 | +109% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $62 | −$61 | -99% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $60 | −$59 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $71 | +$29 | +42% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $58 | +$42 | +73% |