trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 40% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 30% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 30% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 22 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 50% | 5% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 5% | -11.3% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 0% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 0% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -34.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 13 | $63 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 13 | $11 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $30 | −$1 | -5% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 08 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Romania's court annul the presidential election? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 28 | $7 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elect | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 14 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference? | May 13 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +21% |
| Solana above $145 on March 14? | Mar 13 | $11 | −$6 | -52% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 12 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 11 | $13 | $0 | +0% |