Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:00:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x0957…133b
crypto · 653 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,072 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,072 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,072
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses419 / 234
Open positions0
Markets (closed)653 / 653
History coverage186d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day8.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 653 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$1
14 days−$2
30 days+$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 30 $2 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET May 30 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 30 $6 +$5 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 30 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 30 $2 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 30 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 30 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 30 $6 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET May 30 $16 +$14 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 30 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET May 30 $2 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 29 $16 +$13 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 29 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 28 $15 +$10 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 28 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 28 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 28 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET May 28 $3 +$2 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET May 27 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 26 $3 +$2 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET May 26 $9 +$6 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET May 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET May 25 $23 +$15 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET May 25 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET May 24 $9 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET May 23 $4 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET May 21 $9 +$6 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET May 21 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Apr 30 $23 +$15 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Apr 30 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Apr 30 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Apr 26 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Apr 26 $23 +$17 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Apr 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Apr 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,072
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -17.3% -25.2% 50% 50% -1.0%
≤30d 43 -7.6% -16.4% 53% 53% +0.2%
≤90d 305 -10.8% -19.3% 55% 55% -37.6%
all 653 -6.8% -15.7% 64% 31% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.7% 31% -18.4%
10% -23.8% 29% -26.2%
15% -31.1% 25% -33.4%
20% -37.9% 19% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1987 history records