Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x0941…b254
sports · 656 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,221 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,713 · open −$227
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$315
Realized−$1,713
Unrealized−$227
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses223 / 421
Whale WR (big bets)22%
Est. fees paid−$275
Open positions15
Markets (closed)644 / 656
History coverage92d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 15 History 644 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$201
7 days−$368
14 days−$698
30 days−$849
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 15? Yes 52¢ 72¢ $50 $69 +$20 (+39%)
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? No 57¢ 60¢ $51 $54 +$3 (+6%)
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? Yes 36¢ 40¢ $40 $44 +$4 (+11%)
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026? No 75¢ 55¢ $51 $37 −$13 (-27%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 15? Yes 27¢ 32¢ $27 $32 +$5 (+19%)
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election? Yes 41¢ 61¢ $17 $26 +$8 (+49%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 15? Yes 30¢ 28¢ $16 $15 −$1 (-6%)
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? No 38¢ 30¢ $17 $13 −$4 (-22%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 15? Yes 30¢ 8¢ $45 $12 −$32 (-72%)
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? Yes 34¢ 58¢ $5 $8 +$4 (+72%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 31¢ 1¢ $103 $3 −$100 (-97%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$26 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 12? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 2? No 32¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 14 $134 −$5 -4%
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? Jun 14 $26 −$3 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 13? Jun 14 $57 +$181 +319%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $55 +$103 +189%
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Jun 12 $51 −$5 -11%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Jun 12 $54 −$7 -13%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Jun 12 $54 −$4 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 13? Jun 12 $55 −$53 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $53 +$24 +45%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $93 +$110 +118%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June Jun 12 $93 −$89 -97%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 12 $537 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 12 $52 +$20 +38%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $52 +$31 +59%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 11 $104 −$100 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Jun 11 $102 +$6 +6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? Jun 11 $53 −$32 -61%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 11 $53 −$23 -44%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $102 +$35 +34%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12? Jun 11 $53 −$52 -98%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $53 +$49 +93%
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 11 $53 −$16 -31%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12? Jun 11 $8 −$8 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $52 −$51 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June Jun 11 $66 −$64 -97%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 11 $79 −$14 -18%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $153 +$93 +61%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12? Jun 11 $54 −$52 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $41 −$40 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 −$9 -96%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $115 −$76 -66%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $168 −$162 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 11 $107 −$11 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 10? Jun 11 $12 +$11 +88%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 11 $53 −$1 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 10? Jun 11 $21 +$46 +217%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 11 $205 −$1 -0%
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? Jun 11 $51 +$13 +24%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $53 −$38 -71%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $104 −$103 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? Jun 11 $150 −$145 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $53 +$47 +88%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $54 +$51 +94%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 11? Jun 10 $112 −$107 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $102 +$150 +147%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 31% −$2,904
crypto 20% −$1,582
weather 19% +$33
other 14% +$3,333
world 13% −$957
politics 3% +$27
finance 1% +$97
culture 0% +$19
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? SELL No 37¢ $52 1h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 41¢ $26 1h
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? SELL Yes 54¢ $23 1h
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 60¢ $26 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June BUY Yes 27¢ $28 4h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 15? BUY Yes 30¢ $17 5h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 15? BUY Yes 59¢ $26 5h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14? BUY Yes 26¢ $27 6h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 15? BUY Yes 47¢ $25 7h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY Yes 32¢ $27 9h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY Yes 28¢ $19 9h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 22¢ $6 9h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 11¢ $11 18h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $158 23h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 34h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 18¢ $9 37h
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? SELL No 62¢ $46 41h
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? SELL No 33¢ $47 41h
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? SELL Yes 34¢ $50 41h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 43h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 43h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 47h
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 SELL No 29¢ $9 47h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 19¢ $7 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 17¢ $7 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 2d
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12? BUY Yes 6¢ $21 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 118 +0.5% -9.1% 38% 36% -13.6%
≤30d 320 +3.8% -6.1% 36% 35% -14.7%
≤90d 644 +2.2% -7.5% 35% 32% -13.7%
all 644 +2.2% -7.5% 35% 32% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 32% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 31% -22.0%
15% -24.5% 28% -29.5%
20% -31.9% 26% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $315.30 · official $315.30 (match) · 2527 history records