Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:25:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x093f…e548
other · 8 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$27 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$184
Realized−$25
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 6
Open positions2
Markets (closed)6 / 8
History coverage587d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit12%
Chart Positions 2 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $97 $104 +$7 (+7%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $96 $80 −$16 (-17%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $41 −$7 -17%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $10 −$1 -7%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $31 −$2 -7%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $10 −$1 -6%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $8 $0 -6%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 05 $25 −$15 -58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 92% −$20
politics 8% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-31.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -8.6% -17.3% 0% 0% -19.2%
≤30d 5 -8.6% -17.3% 0% 0% -19.2%
≤90d 5 -8.6% -17.3% 0% 0% -19.2%
all 6 -23.8% -31.1% 0% 0% -29.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.1% 0% -29.4%
10% -37.7% 0% -36.2%
15% -43.7% 0% -42.3%
20% -49.2% 0% -48.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $184.36 · official $184.36 (match) · 18 history records