Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x093d…615b
crypto · 1379 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$693 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$463 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized+$463
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses670 / 707
Est. fees paid−$48
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1377 / 1379
History coverage106d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day19.4
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1377 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$35
14 days−$4
30 days−$452
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 62¢ 64¢ $26 $27 +$1 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Down 43¢ 44¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$13 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$17 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$17 +83%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 +$6 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$9 -77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET Jun 08 $11 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 03 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 03 $46 −$13 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 59% +$463
sports 41% +$15
other 0% −$11
world 0% −$3
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 62¢ $26 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $17 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $38 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 15h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 15h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $5 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 41h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $10 42h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 93¢ $14 45h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $8 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $11 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +6.6% -3.5% 58% 58% +19.4%
≤30d 500 -11.2% -19.7% 45% 45% -24.1%
≤90d 890 -4.9% -13.9% 46% 45% -14.0%
all 1377 -4.5% -13.6% 49% 46% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.6% 46% -8.1%
10% -21.8% 40% -16.9%
15% -29.4% 34% -24.9%
20% -36.3% 30% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.98 · official $36.98 (match) · 3130 history records