Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T04:53:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
09 0x0924…1b32 crypto 1799 markets active 1h ago coverage 105d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 105d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$265 (-1%) realized −$265 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR68%break-even
Win rate70%1272W / 535L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day18.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$6now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$88
7 days−$160
14 days−$160
30 days−$187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% −$600
other 10% −$185
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 -15.0% -23.1% 64% 63% -57.4%
≤30d 425 -3.1% -12.3% 74% 70% -29.1%
≤90d 1556 -7.8% -16.6% 69% 66% -21.9%
all 1807 -3.8% -13.0% 70% 68% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.0% 68% -13.5%
10% -21.3% 56% -21.8%
15% -28.9% 29% -29.3%
20% -35.9% 12% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$12 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

105d coverage
Net worth$6
Realized−$265
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses1272 / 535
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1807 / 1799
History coverage105d ⚠
Avg bet$11
Trades / day18.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1807 Trades
no open positions (383 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +38%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.51 · official $5.51 (match) · 3500 history records