Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:07:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
09 0x0922…c0ad other 4 markets active 197d ago coverage 13d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sampleP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)! high turnover
Total PnL +$1 (+3%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2000% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +1517% what you keep after slip
Net edge+1517%after slip
Net WR100%break-even
Win rate100%4W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day43.0pace
Kalshi-fit57%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 13d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
tech 68% +$1,182
other 24% +$742
sports 8% +$349
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+1800.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 4 +2000.0% +1800.0% 100% 100% +1800.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover43.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1800.0% 100% +1800.0%
10% ← realistic here +1618.2% 100% +1618.2%
15% +1452.2% 100% +1452.2%
20% +1300.0% 100% +1300.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 47% · top 2 79% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI — too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2000% · $-wt +7757% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$568 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses4 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage13d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day43.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit57%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Nov 30 $15 +$1,060 +7168%
Will Verona win the 2025–26 Serie A league? Nov 29 $2 +$349 +15858%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Nov 22 $7 +$742 +10453%
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Nov 22 $5 +$122 +2335%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $9 196d
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 0¢ $25 196d
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 0¢ $23 196d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 196d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 196d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 196d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $10 196d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 196d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $10 196d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $9 196d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $9 196d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $10 196d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 196d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $9 196d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 196d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $9 196d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $10 196d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $10 196d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 196d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $9 196d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 196d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $9 196d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $9 197d
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $27 198d
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $29 198d
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $27 198d
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $28 198d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $7 198d
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? SELL Yes 0¢ $8 198d
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $28 198d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 569 history records