Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:53:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x0909…91ca
crypto · 1344 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$35,051 -222%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35,051 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$35,051
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1310 / 502
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1812 / 1344
History coverage15d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day138.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1812 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35,348
7 days−$35,113
14 days−$35,066
30 days−$35,051
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Heidenheim end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 6? Up 53¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-24? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $168 $0 −$168 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-19? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21? Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2PM ET Jun 13 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Heidenheim end in a draw? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 6? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-24? Jun 13 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-19? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-04? Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 4AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-29? Jun 13 $50 −$52 -104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$13 -175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$20 -124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23? Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$336
other 0% −$7
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $16 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $110 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $102 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $105 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-29.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1011 -41.0% -46.6% 52% 1% -81.6%
≤30d 1812 -22.5% -29.9% 72% 2% -71.9%
≤90d 1812 -22.5% -29.9% 72% 2% -71.9%
all 1812 -22.5% -29.9% 72% 2% -71.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover138.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.9% 2% -71.9%
10% ← realistic here -36.6% 1% -74.6%
15% -42.7% 1% -77.1%
20% -48.4% 0% -79.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records