trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 40% | 0% | -8.4% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 40% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -16.6% | -24.6% | 33% | 0% | -10.6% |
| all | 22 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 50% | 0% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.7% | 0% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -25.6% | 0% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -32.7% | 0% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -39.3% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 24 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 24 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $9 | $0 | +5% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $39 | +$1 | +2% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $20 | $0 | -2% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $40 | −$4 | -10% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 10 | $8 | $0 | +6% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Open Championship? | Apr 01 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July? | Apr 01 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament? | Jun 08 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Apr 25 | $114 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Apr 25 | $66 | −$4 | -6% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 24 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $81000 and $83000 on Apr 25? | Apr 24 | $125 | $0 | +0% |