Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:22:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x08f3…7d69
crypto · 172 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$25 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$97 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$97
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses107 / 65
Open positions0
Markets (closed)172 / 172
History coverage23d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day28.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 172 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$154
7 days−$112
14 days−$145
30 days−$97
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$12 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$8 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$14 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$12 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$7 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$9 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$15 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$17 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$8 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$6 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$11 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$23 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$8 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $74 −$24 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$17 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$18 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$26 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$10 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$13 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$15 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$18 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$11 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$15 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$97
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $7 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -3.2% -12.4% 60% 57% -14.6%
≤30d 172 +5.6% -4.4% 62% 58% -11.8%
≤90d 172 +5.6% -4.4% 62% 58% -11.8%
all 172 +5.6% -4.4% 62% 58% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.4% 58% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 51% -20.2%
15% -21.9% 41% -27.9%
20% -29.6% 28% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 826 history records