Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:38:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x08ea…cd3e
sports · 1062 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$44 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Net worth$19
Realized−$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses560 / 483
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions19
Markets (closed)1043 / 1062
History coverage192d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day5.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 19 History 1043 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$14
14 days−$35
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 57¢ 57¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 82¢ 81¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Vitality 74¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 74¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Vitality 70¢ 69¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 65¢ 64¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 65¢ 64¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner G2 62¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 55¢ 55¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 55¢ 55¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Vitality 53¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 43¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 43¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 43¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 42¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 40¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner G2 55¢ 54¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 23¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs 3DMAX 32¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Voca 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage FOKUS 63¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5) Astralis 72¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +134%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1 +$2 +197%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +109%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 65¢ $1 16m
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 74¢ $1 23m
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Vitality 53¢ $1 29m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $1 39m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 62¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 55¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 42¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 51¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 55¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 70¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 74¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 65¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 43¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 43¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 40¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 51¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 82¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 57¢ $1 1h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 66¢ $1 23h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY Vitality 50¢ $1 23h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 51¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 77¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 47¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 50¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 74¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 50¢ $1 24h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY B8 56¢ $1 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 -15.8% -23.9% 49% 48% -23.3%
≤30d 247 -10.0% -18.6% 49% 49% -18.0%
≤90d 751 -6.9% -15.8% 50% 48% -15.1%
all 1043 -4.5% -13.6% 54% 52% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.6% 52% -13.5%
10% -21.9% 47% -21.7%
15% -29.4% 42% -29.3%
20% -36.4% 32% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.82 · official $18.82 (match) · 1639 history records