| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? |
Jun 26 |
$324 |
+$27 |
+8% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
Jun 10 |
$325 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026? |
May 16 |
$249 |
+$70 |
+28% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? |
May 02 |
$391 |
+$38 |
+10% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? |
Mar 27 |
$419 |
+$8 |
+2% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 24? |
Mar 24 |
$20 |
+$1 |
+3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24? |
Mar 24 |
$20 |
+$1 |
+5% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Grou |
Mar 23 |
$24 |
+$3 |
+11% |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
Mar 23 |
$25 |
$0 |
+2% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? |
Mar 19 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? |
Mar 16 |
$182 |
+$23 |
+12% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? |
Mar 01 |
$172 |
+$11 |
+6% |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? |
Feb 23 |
$155 |
+$15 |
+10% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Feb 11 |
$153 |
+$4 |
+2% |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? |
Feb 01 |
$145 |
+$8 |
+5% |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? |
Jan 27 |
$165 |
−$19 |
-12% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? |
Jan 22 |
$315 |
+$7 |
+2% |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? |
Dec 29 |
$143 |
+$15 |
+10% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? |
Dec 26 |
$120 |
+$22 |
+18% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? |
Nov 13 |
$61 |
+$59 |
+97% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? |
Oct 25 |
$38 |
+$23 |
+60% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? |
Oct 13 |
$37 |
+$2 |
+5% |
| Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway? |
Sep 09 |
$30 |
+$7 |
+23% |
| Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway? |
Aug 29 |
$49 |
−$20 |
-40% |
| Trump wins every swing state? |
Nov 10 |
$22 |
−$22 |
-100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November? |
Nov 10 |
$19 |
$0 |
+2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,250 in November? |
Nov 10 |
$193 |
+$4 |
+2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November? |
Nov 09 |
$152 |
+$59 |
+39% |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House |
Nov 07 |
$146 |
+$7 |
+5% |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House |
Nov 06 |
$48 |
−$22 |
-46% |
| Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? |
Nov 06 |
$100 |
+$19 |
+19% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Nov 05 |
$5 |
$0 |
-2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,250 in October? |
Nov 01 |
$4 |
$0 |
+11% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? |
Oct 28 |
$36 |
−$28 |
-77% |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? |
Oct 05 |
$37 |
−$4 |
-10% |
| Will Biden finish his term? |
Oct 01 |
$5 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden? |
Oct 01 |
$5 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Oct 01 |
$5 |
$0 |
-0% |
| $BTC dips below $50k before October? |
Oct 01 |
$5 |
+$1 |
+19% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? |
Oct 01 |
$6 |
$0 |
-3% |
| Will there be another debate? |
Oct 01 |
$1 |
$0 |
-14% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Penn |
Sep 24 |
$5 |
+$1 |
+30% |
| Will Donald Trump say "million" 10 or more times during his North Caro |
Sep 22 |
$4 |
+$1 |
+24% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Nort |
Sep 21 |
$4 |
$0 |
+7% |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20? |
Sep 20 |
$2 |
+$2 |
+82% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Unio |
Sep 19 |
$4 |
−$4 |
-100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Uniondale ral |
Sep 19 |
$3 |
+$1 |
+18% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Mich |
Sep 18 |
$4 |
−$4 |
-100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Michigan town |
Sep 18 |
$4 |
+$3 |
+67% |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate? |
Sep 17 |
$10 |
+$3 |
+30% |