Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:55:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x08e5…5e86
crypto · 15 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$61 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$149 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized+$149
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses11 / 3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)14 / 15
History coverage1d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 1 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$149
7 days+$149
14 days+$149
30 days+$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 70¢ 96¢ $25 $34 +$9 (+38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$9 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$169 +1137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $204 −$200 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $12 −$6 -51%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $228 +$121 +53%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% +$49
other 32% +$109
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $36 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $26 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $36 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $35 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $34 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $36 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $103 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $184 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $102 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $348 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $223 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $6 12h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 81¢ $6 13h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 15h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 15h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)+68.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +86.4% +68.6% 79% 64% +8.6%
≤30d 14 +86.4% +68.6% 79% 64% +8.6%
≤90d 14 +86.4% +68.6% 79% 64% +8.6%
all 14 +86.4% +68.6% 79% 64% +8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +68.6% 64% +8.6%
10% ← realistic here +52.5% 64% -1.8%
15% +37.8% 50% -11.3%
20% +24.3% 14% -20.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.46 · official $27.68 · 33 history records