Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:00:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x08df…a3c6
other · 12 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$107
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses4 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)7 / 12
History coverage2d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 5 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $107 $103 −$4 (-4%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 6¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-62%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Australia to score first vs. Türkiye? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-16%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $2 +$2 +105%
Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar? Jun 13 $2 $0 +21%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$11 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 96% −$7
sports 4% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 3h
Australia to score first vs. Türkiye? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 3h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $2 22h
Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 22h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $2 22h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 35h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $7 35h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $7 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 2d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $110 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +3.8% -6.1% 57% 57% -3.7%
≤30d 7 +3.8% -6.1% 57% 57% -3.7%
≤90d 7 +3.8% -6.1% 57% 57% -3.7%
all 7 +3.8% -6.1% 57% 57% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.1% 57% -3.7%
10% -15.1% 43% -12.9%
15% -23.3% 43% -21.3%
20% -30.8% 29% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $106.57 · official $106.57 (match) · 20 history records