Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:55:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x08df…e1f1
crypto · 312 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$214 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$218 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$218
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses185 / 126
Open positions1
Markets (closed)311 / 312
History coverage34d
Avg bet$69
Trades / day95.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 311 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$122
14 days+$119
30 days+$131
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 70¢ 76¢ $45 $49 +$4 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $116 −$12 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$7 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$9 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $143 −$17 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $70 −$11 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $84 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $91 −$13 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $256 −$29 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $236 +$58 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $218 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $139 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $202 −$14 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $65 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $78 −$9 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $94 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $147 +$13 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$8 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $132 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$7 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $91 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $98 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $86 +$24 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $119 −$13 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $106 −$13 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 09 $71 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $8 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 09 $16 +$9 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 09 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 08 $52 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $134 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $150 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $136 −$19 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 08 $148 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$7 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 08 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 08 $75 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 08 $23 +$4 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$214
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 +13.8% +2.9% 62% 29% -7.6%
≤30d 94 +6.1% -4.0% 61% 31% -7.7%
≤90d 311 +2.6% -7.2% 59% 40% -10.5%
all 311 +2.6% -7.2% 59% 40% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover95.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 40% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 30% -19.0%
15% -24.2% 18% -26.8%
20% -31.6% 12% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.08 · official $49.08 (match) · 3500 history records