trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 60% | 0% | -23.8% |
| all | 12 | -4.1% | -13.2% | 33% | 0% | -22.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.2% | 0% | -22.0% |
| 10% | -21.5% | 0% | -29.5% |
| 15% | -29.1% | 0% | -36.3% |
| 20% | -36.1% | 0% | -42.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Jun 27 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 08 | $320 | −$80 | -25% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 19? | May 05 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 3? | Apr 07 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 25? | Apr 02 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 19? | Mar 25 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 09 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 04 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 03 | $13 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 01 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 01 | $21 | −$3 | -14% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 27 | $29 | $0 | +0% |