Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:36:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x08da…08d4
crypto · 227 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$68 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$68
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses122 / 105
Open positions0
Markets (closed)227 / 227
History coverage5d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day75.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 227 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$68
14 days−$68
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+20%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +104%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -18%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$2 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$55
other 6% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-23.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 227 -15.0% -23.1% 54% 41% -16.3%
≤30d 227 -15.0% -23.1% 54% 41% -16.3%
≤90d 227 -15.0% -23.1% 54% 41% -16.3%
all 227 -15.0% -23.1% 54% 41% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.1% 41% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -30.5% 23% -24.3%
15% -37.2% 11% -31.6%
20% -43.4% 5% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.04 · official $6.04 (match) · 610 history records