Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:27:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
08 0x08d8…b8bd crypto 1249 markets active 6d ago coverage 27d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$26 (+2%) realized +$26 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate87%1087W / 161L
Drawdown53%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day46.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$7
14 days−$3
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$16
other 0% −$1
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -10.2% -18.8% 78% 51% -18.8%
≤30d 1140 +0.8% -8.8% 87% 56% -8.8%
≤90d 1248 +1.0% -8.6% 87% 56% -8.6%
all 1248 +1.0% -8.6% 87% 56% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover46.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 56% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 20% -17.3%
15% -25.3% 1% -25.3%
20% -32.7% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1087 / 161
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1248 / 1249
History coverage27d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day46.4
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1248 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2900 history records