trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -57.9% | -61.9% | 19% | 19% | -45.2% |
| ≤30d | 30 | -51.7% | -56.3% | 23% | 23% | -38.6% |
| ≤90d | 30 | -51.7% | -56.3% | 23% | 23% | -38.6% |
| all | 30 | -51.7% | -56.3% | 23% | 23% | -38.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -56.3% | 23% | -38.6% |
| 10% | -60.5% | 23% | -44.5% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -64.3% | 23% | -49.9% |
| 20% | -67.8% | 23% | -54.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $6,141 | −$6,141 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $3,009 | −$3,009 | -100% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $3,724 | +$3,876 | +104% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2,491 | −$2,491 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,931 | +$3,015 | +156% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 14 | $1,599 | −$1,599 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2,698 | −$2,698 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $4,593 | −$4,593 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $4,465 | +$5,035 | +113% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $4,389 | −$4,389 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1,377 | −$1,377 | -100% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 11 | $387 | −$377 | -97% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 10 | $619 | −$619 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 10 | $144 | −$140 | -98% |
| Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $1,046 | +$1,005 | +96% |
| Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $91 | −$91 | -100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 09 | $486 | −$474 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 08 | $542 | −$542 | -100% |
| Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? | Jun 08 | $1,297 | +$911 | +70% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 07 | $581 | +$812 | +140% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 06 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 06 | $1,603 | −$1,603 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 05 | $3,015 | −$3,015 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 31 | $4,572 | +$3,048 | +67% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | May 29 | $1,296 | −$1,296 | -100% |