Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:50:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x08c3…f903
crypto · 21 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$51 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses12 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)21 / 21
History coverage1d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day67.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$51
7 days−$51
14 days−$51
30 days−$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$23 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$10 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $95 −$24 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $77 −$22 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $87 +$9 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $66 −$10 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$11 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$6 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $83 +$11 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$8 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$12 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +148%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $24 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $13 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $31 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -1.1% -10.5% 57% 43% -14.5%
≤30d 21 -1.1% -10.5% 57% 43% -14.5%
≤90d 21 -1.1% -10.5% 57% 43% -14.5%
all 21 -1.1% -10.5% 57% 43% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 43% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 24% -22.7%
15% -26.9% 19% -30.1%
20% -34.1% 14% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 79 history records