trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 60¢ | 58¢ | $38 | $37 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $33 | $33 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 56¢ | 57¢ | $29 | $30 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 63¢ | 64¢ | $29 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | Jun 13 | $15 | +$7 | +48% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | Jun 13 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $32 | −$13 | -41% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$5 | -46% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 12 | $32 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $34 | −$4 | -13% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $16 | +$20 | +127% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 12 | $34 | −$26 | -77% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $33 | +$19 | +57% |
| Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary ele | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | -16% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +3.0% | -6.9% | 30% | 30% | -11.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +3.0% | -6.9% | 30% | 30% | -11.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +3.0% | -6.9% | 30% | 30% | -11.5% |
| all | 10 | +3.0% | -6.9% | 30% | 30% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.9% | 30% | -11.5% |
| 10% | -15.8% | 30% | -19.9% |
| 15% | -23.9% | 30% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -31.4% | 20% | -34.8% |