Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:26:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x08c0…24c5
crypto · 19 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$10 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses7 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)19 / 19
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day20.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-53.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -48.3% -53.2% 37% 32% -38.6%
≤30d 19 -48.3% -53.2% 37% 32% -38.6%
≤90d 19 -48.3% -53.2% 37% 32% -38.6%
all 19 -48.3% -53.2% 37% 32% -38.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -53.2% 32% -38.6%
10% -57.7% 26% -44.4%
15% -61.8% 16% -49.8%
20% -65.5% 5% -54.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 40 history records