Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:44:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x089b…c619
sports · 288 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$419 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$435 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$435
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses111 / 184
Est. fees paid−$67
Open positions3
Markets (closed)295 / 288
History coverage41d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day76.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 295 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$8
14 days−$25
30 days−$157
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Team WE 37¢ 100¢ $6 $16 +$10 (+173%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner B8 28¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+257%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 69¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION Challengers 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner G2 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+126%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs Sentinels 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+187%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Natus Vincere 31¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+223%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+43%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner Wildcard 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner FlyQuest 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Frances Tiafoe Alexei Popyrin 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs FlyQuest 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stage FlyQuest 40¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Oh My God 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stage LYON 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Season CTBC Flying Oyster 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Disguised 13¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $0 +$2 +436%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qua Jun 13 $0 $0 +62%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $0 −$1 -1323%
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 13 $0 $0 -108%
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stage Jun 13 $0 $0 +176%
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $0 −$1 -287%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stage Jun 13 $0 +$5 +3193%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Jun 13 $0 $0 -795%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +163%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$2 +96%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +103%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $1 +$1 +88%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +48%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 -21%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $4 −$2 -47%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $3 +$4 +139%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $2 −$1 -93%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) Jun 09 $2 +$2 +95%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $1 +$4 +252%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $3 +$4 +113%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1 $0 +12%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $6 +$7 +115%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2 +$3 +163%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $2 +$2 +126%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $6 +$9 +154%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$3 -82%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $6 +$3 +46%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $3 +$3 +100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $4 +$4 +97%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$425
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 44¢ $0 54m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 46¢ $0 54m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 69¢ $1 55m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 67¢ $0 55m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 67¢ $0 55m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 66¢ $1 55m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 66¢ $0 55m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 41¢ $0 56m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 41¢ $0 56m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 41¢ $0 56m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 42¢ $0 56m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 42¢ $0 56m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 49¢ $6 58m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 22¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 19¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 18¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 28¢ $2 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 SELL Yes 69¢ $0 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 SELL Yes 69¢ $0 5h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 SELL Yes 69¢ $0 5h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 SELL Yes 69¢ $0 5h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 SELL Yes 67¢ $0 8h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 SELL Yes 67¢ $0 9h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 SELL Yes 67¢ $0 11h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 SELL Yes 67¢ $0 12h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 52¢ $1 14h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 52¢ $0 14h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 52¢ $0 14h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 14h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 BUY Yes 71¢ $2 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 +40.0% +26.7% 47% 45% -4.8%
≤30d 175 +4.0% -5.9% 39% 39% -19.1%
≤90d 295 +2.0% -7.7% 38% 37% -20.4%
all 295 +2.0% -7.7% 38% 37% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 37% -20.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 35% -28.0%
15% -24.6% 33% -35.0%
20% -32.0% 32% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.48 · official $23.15 · 3500 history records