Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:20:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
08 0x0899…0507 crypto 915 markets active 4d ago coverage 41d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big⚠ Covers last 40d only
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! loses its big bets
Total PnL −$3,896 (-13%) realized −$3,896 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate56%513W / 402L
Whale WR17%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$32per market
Trades / day61.1pace
Fees−$208est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$67
14 days−$28
30 days−$1,318
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 47% −$1,109
sports 33% −$2,682
world 11% −$65
other 5% −$338
politics 3% −$20
tech 1% −$40
finance 0% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -10.8% -19.3% 57% 50% -19.8%
≤30d 505 -11.6% -20.0% 64% 55% -29.0%
≤90d 915 -6.5% -15.4% 56% 51% -22.9%
all 915 -6.5% -15.4% 56% 51% -22.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover61.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 51% -22.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 42% -30.3%
15% -30.9% 34% -37.0%
20% -37.7% 28% -43.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -15% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 17% (≥$500) wins small, loses big bets
Persistence
early -3% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$24 · ×0.43 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,896
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses513 / 402
Whale WR (big bets)17%
Est. fees paid−$208
Open positions0
Markets (closed)915 / 915
History coverage41d ⚠
Avg bet$32
Trades / day61.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 915 Trades
no open positions (48 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $74 −$73 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$10 +188%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$16 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $18 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$8 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$7 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$4 +270%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$8 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$6 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $74 4d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $5 5d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 26¢ $4 5d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records