Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:49:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x0895…e17b
crypto · 168 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$105 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$38 · open +$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$639
Realized+$38
Unrealized+$19
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses110 / 56
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)166 / 168
History coverage1d
Avg bet$166
Trades / day3286.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 166 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$38
7 days+$38
14 days+$38
30 days+$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Down 83¢ 86¢ $431 $449 +$18 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 92¢ 81¢ $203 $181 −$23 (-11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 17¢ 18¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $185 +$16 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $309 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $273 +$46 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $332 +$24 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $238 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $148 +$33 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $83 +$12 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $341 +$27 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $120 +$18 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$5 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $230 +$38 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $45 +$15 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $397 +$29 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $301 +$27 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $156 +$96 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $143 −$141 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $674 +$84 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $90 −$89 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $421 +$20 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$3 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $65 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $236 +$19 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $143 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $92 +$31 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$12 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $125 +$26 +21%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $195 +$19 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $64 +$18 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $109 +$25 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$57
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $44 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $64 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $19 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 166 -7.2% -16.0% 66% 43% -9.4%
≤30d 166 -7.2% -16.0% 66% 43% -9.4%
≤90d 166 -7.2% -16.0% 66% 43% -9.4%
all 166 -7.2% -16.0% 66% 43% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3286.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 43% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 21% -18.1%
15% -31.4% 8% -26.0%
20% -38.1% 4% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $639.35 · official $646.16 · 3437 history records